The Failure of Intelligence Integration in Economic Policy: A Study of Indonesia Fuel Policy
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.55960/jlri.v1402.1133Keywords:
Asta Gatra, Fuel Price Policy, Intelligence–Policy Gap, National Resilience, Strategic IntelligenceAbstract
Purpose: To examine the relationship between intelligence analysis and policy formulation during Indonesia's 2022 fuel price increase, identifying factors affecting the integration of intelligence findings into government decisions and their implications for national resilience within the Asta Gatra framework.
Study Design/Methodology/Approach: A qualitative case study draws on interviews with informants involved in policy formulation and familiar with energy-sector decision-making, supported by relevant official documents. Process tracing and pattern matching were employed to analyse the relationship between intelligence assessments and policy decisions.
Findings: Intelligence assessments were available and disseminated before the fuel price decision but were insufficiently integrated into policy formulation. Contributing factors included divergent policy orientations, selective utilisation of intelligence, and the absence of formal procedures connecting intelligence assessments with decision-making.
Implications: Strengthening institutional mechanisms for integrating intelligence into strategic policymaking requires clearly defined access points, structured coordination, and feedback systems to improve the utilisation of early warnings in government decisions.
Originality/Value: The findings extend the intelligence-policy gap concept by demonstrating how policymakers' preferences and institutional readiness jointly influence intelligence integration. The analysis provides a conceptual basis for improving intelligence-policy coordination, early warning mechanisms, and national resilience across the economic, social, political, and defence and security dimensions of Asta Gatra.
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